How do Dictatorships end Civil War?

How do Dictatorships end Civil War?
Author :
Publisher : GRIN Verlag
Total Pages : 44
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9783668818484
ISBN-13 : 3668818487
Rating : 4/5 (84 Downloads)

Book Synopsis How do Dictatorships end Civil War? by : Jan Will

Download or read book How do Dictatorships end Civil War? written by Jan Will and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2018-10-17 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bachelor Thesis from the year 2018 in the subject Politics - Topic: Peace and Conflict, Security, grade: 2,0, University of Constance, language: English, abstract: This study investigates whether there is a significant impact of different authoritarian regimes, namely personalist and nonpersonalist civilian autocracies as well as their respective military counterparts, on the termination of civil war. The paper suggests that in civil wars those regimes that function on a civilian basis have an advantage in co-opting their opponents to reach a settlement of the conflict. Furthermore, military leaders are expected to be less reluctant towards the use of force than civilian ones which should make them more likely to win civil wars. The same applies to personalist dictators who are hypothesised to view the state as their own and are inclined to forcefully defend their achievements. Several multinomial logit models are tested for the time period between 1946 and 2010. The average predicted probabilities show that personalist civilian regimes indeed are more likely to reach a settlement than other types. Nonpersonalist civilian dictatorships are correctly hypothesised to least likely win an intra-state war, whereas personalist military leaders do so with a comparatively high probability.


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