Download or read book Essays on Stochastic Volatility and Jumps written by Diep Ngoc Duong and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation comprises three essays on financial economics and econometrics. The first essay outlines and expands upon further testing results from Bhardwaj, Corradi and Swanson (BCS: 2008) and Corradi and Swanson (2011). In particular, specification tests in the spirit of the conditional Kolmogorov test of Andrews (1997) that rely on block bootstrap resampling methods are first discussed. We then broaden our discussion from single process specification testing to multiple process model selection by discussing how to construct predictive densities and how to compare the accuracy of predictive densities derived from alternative (possibly misspecified) diffusion models. In particular, we generalize simulation steps outlined in Cai and Swanson (2011) to multifactor models where the number of latent variables is larger than three. In the second essay, we begin by discussing important developments in volatility modeling, with a focus on time varying and stochastic volatility as well as the "model free" estimation of volatility via the use of so-called realized volatility, and variants thereof called realized measures. In an empirical investigation, we use realized measures to investigate the role of "small" and large" jumps in the realized variation of stock price returns and show that jumps do matter in the relative contribution to the total variation of the process, when examining individual stock returns, as well as market indices. The third essay examines the predictive content of a variety of realized measures of jump power variations, all formed on the basis of power transformations of instantaneous returns. Our prediction involves estimating members of the linear and nonlinear extended Heterogeneous Autoregressive of the Realized Volatility (HAR-RV) class of models, using S & P 500 futures data as well as stocks in the Dow 30, for the period 1993-2009. Our findings suggest that past "large" jump power variations help less in the prediction of future realized volatility, than past "small" jump power variations. Our empirical findings also suggest that past realized signed jump power variations, which have not previously been examined in this literature, are strongly correlated with future volatility.