Download or read book Threat and Risk Analysis in the Context of Strategic Forecasting written by Michael Hough and published by Institute for Strategic Studies University of Pretoria. This book was released on 2008 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication presents a concise introduction to threat and risk analysis, the use and construction of scenarios, the role of intelligence and early warning, and political forecasting and state decay--Publisher's description.