Sovereign Default Risk, Fiscal Adjustment, and Debt Renegotiation

Sovereign Default Risk, Fiscal Adjustment, and Debt Renegotiation
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Total Pages : 42
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ISBN-10 : OCLC:1305201151
ISBN-13 :
Rating : 4/5 (51 Downloads)

Book Synopsis Sovereign Default Risk, Fiscal Adjustment, and Debt Renegotiation by : Hyungseok Joo

Download or read book Sovereign Default Risk, Fiscal Adjustment, and Debt Renegotiation written by Hyungseok Joo and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the effects of government capital accumulation on sovereign debt default risk and debt restructuring renegotiation outcomes when government has limited ability to extract revenues from households. We develop a quantitative dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of sovereign default, debt renegotiation, and fiscal policies, where government chooses between the fiscal instruments of government consumption and government investment. Government capital provides an additional means of adjustment in the face of a bad productivity shock. It also affects government's incentive to re-access the international credit market when a country chooses to default. We implement fiscal policies and rules that restrict foreign debt, especially focusing on how fiscal rules affect government spending dynamics. The model delivers three key predictions. (1) A higher level of government capital implies less risky sovereign debt and higher recovery rates when the government chooses to default. (2) A high debt to output ratio is possible with a sufficient level of government capital. (3) Fiscal adjustment that reduces public investment may be self-defeating.


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