Download or read book The J Curve Exposure Analysis of the Effective Exchange Rates written by Achinthya Koswatta and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2015-04-07 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study aims to find the relationship between real effective exchange rate and trade balance in Sri Lanka in order to find out the J curve phenomenon by using its 10 major trading partners. This paper first constructed the Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER)and Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER)for Sri Lanka and then applied the Engle-Granger technique to investigate the long run cointegration relation between Balance of Trade (BOT) and REER, and finally employed the Error Correction Mechanism to explore the short-run linkage. Estimate results demonstrated that the REER has not a significant influence on Sri Lankan Trade Balance. The Granger Causality test suggests that the REER does not Granger cause the trade balance. We found that the Marshal-Lerner condition does not exist in Sri Lanka. Therefore, no evidence found to support the J curve theory in Sri Lanka. This implies that exchange rate policy is not an efficient policy tool in Sri Lanka. In order to improve the trade balance, Sri Lanka has to follow some other methods. Import tax policies can be imposed to reduce imports on selective basis and export promotion to increase the government revenue.